No, I'm familiar with the concept but the OP was specifically talking about plant toxins.
I don't know if the idea of extreme dilution and water memory have always been a part of homeopathy. I don't believe those ideas have any merit. They seem like a perversion of legitimate herbal medicine. Perhaps I should have lead with that...
If you think a false Satoshi would hem and haw and not say anything, you don't know how con artists work. Some people have the skill of lying fluently. If Wright isn't Satoshi, then clearly he is one of those people. Therefore this test would not distinguish anything.
I mean not say anything substantial. It's a "hard" technical question, in that it's quite a technical paper. 9 pages is quite short, so there is a lot he would have left out, for example, though it was on his mind. The real Satoshi could talk about these easily.
If you just assume that the sample mean = the population mean, then you get the right answer, at least for this example. I don't see why the article fools around with the maximum at all - isn't the maximum a much more noisy statistic than the mean?
The range matters – had they found 10 serial numbers between 100000 and 101000, would the mean still be a meaningful estimate of the production rate? In this case, the author just tacitly assumes the minimum to be zero.
I thought the same, and tried it. The mean sample mean after 10 million runs is 500.47, which is very close to the true mean, 500.5. Bessel's correction is not correct here - it's effectively multiplying by n/(n-1), so your estimate would be 536. Bessel's correction is made for estimating true variance using a sample, not for estimating true mean.
Yes of course, the mean is the first moment and a Bessel correction would be inappropriate. Now I feel stupid. The mean calculated by sum(p_t x_i) or 1/n sum(x_i) is already the best linear unbiased estimate. Maybe we can't get better than twice the mean?
Cycling the legislators doesn't help at all - it's easy to make a farm team of lackies, already "bought" before they're even elected. They can even be picked according to ideology, so you don't have to pay them a dime.
Agreed. There is this call for term limits but think it would have the opposite effect of what people want. If politics is not a long term career then politicians need to be either independently wealthy or keep a foot in the industry they worked in. That way it's pretty much guaranteed that they will be beholden to that industry and aren't independent.
The YouTube recommendation algorithm will rapidly bubble you into a parody of your original beliefs. Of course this feels true and reliable and complete, but it's a false sense. It's a good way to learn what you want to learn, but a terrible way to learn what you don't want to learn. A general media source, for all its errors, has the huge advantage of giving you information you didn't ask for.
True. I'm merely commenting on the total value of Youtube vs generic western media. Btw there are browser plugins that block the whole recommendation thing.
I don't think the nerd/Ivy distinction you're making is significant. Most students at Ivy League schools are nerds, at least by the standards of broader society (you need good grades to get in). Few of them "network for a living."
If anything, the real distinction is that a network for college students is appealing to teenagers, who are the perfect audience for social media. A network for adults doesn't draw in this crowd.
I have run into that problem, but only when merging Latex documents with different packages. If you find something that's really difficult and requires a lot of packages, ask why other users haven't made it easy already - maybe it's not a good design.
Historical correction: no one is saying the US is gassing kids, that's confusion about what "concentration camp" means. Not every concentration camp is a Nazi death camp. Anytime you gather up the population in camps to keep control of them is a concentration camp (that's what the "concentration" part means). They were used by the British in the Boer War, by the Spanish in Cuba, and by the US in the Japanese internment.
The current US refugee camps may qualify, because the point is to end the previous policy of letting them free until their hearings - thus, concentration in the classic sense. On the other hand, there is a legitimate legal process for getting out eventually; in that sense they're more like ordinary prisons.
But this is a detectable amount of damage, so it's not homeopathy.