> If we made the wrong bet, some blame is with product, but it’s also on you, and the manager probably won’t look great.
Why would any manager in his/her right mind choose to take any major risks while working for a big company? Maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but "looking not great" because you failed makes sure that next time you'll have to make the choice you'll always going to pick the safe bet. And safe bets aren't good for any technological company long-term.
I am with you on this. There is some positive incentive if the technical manager gets the product right maybe a strongly exceeds for a year. But if the product fails TLM gets equal share of negative press and a low rating which means greatly low bonus and bad reputation which will make hiring even more difficult. I don't see any reason why a TLM will take any major risks while working in a large company.
Why would any manager in his/her right mind choose to take any major risks while working for a big company? Maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but "looking not great" because you failed makes sure that next time you'll have to make the choice you'll always going to pick the safe bet. And safe bets aren't good for any technological company long-term.