It's not much good for comparrison with March when tests were only done in hospital, and I see a lot of people doing that
Most people who had covid by August (which was at least 6%, or 4 million, in the UK according to antibody tests) caught it between start of February and end of April. That's at least 3.5 million over 90 days, or 40k a day on average. Peak was likely double, maybe even treble that, given lockdown on 23rd of March dramatically cut infections.
We're likely testing somewhere in the region of 50% of actual cases. There's the non-symptomatic cases where about equal to the number of symptomatic cases, so double the absolute number -- some with symptoms will refuse to be tested because they don't want to miss work, some without will be caught by contact tracing, those two groups probably cancel each other out.
As such I'd expect 50k/day to be the "March equivelent" - with doubling every 10 days that means another 2 or 3 weeks.
It's not just about absolute cases though. Cases have been doubling roughly every 10 days, as have deaths. Deaths lag cases by 2-3 weeks, so I'd expect deaths in 20 days to be continuing to double even if we all stayed in an isolated booth from now.
Ultimately the concern is we're heading into flu season when hospitals are stretched, and cases, hospital admissions, and deaths are all increasing.
Hopefully flu season will be milder due to social distancing and due to more vulnerable people having been killed off, but either way we need to get a grip soon. Or just abandon any pretense of trying to stop its spread.
