Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Then why is the delay in second doses being encouraged?


The idea behind the second dose being delayed in the UK was it was better to give 24 million and 80% coverage to the most vulnerable people with 1 dose over 12 weeks (assuming 2 million per week), then to give 2 doses to 9 million and 1 dose to 3 million over 12 weeks

.8 * 24 = 19.2m covered in scenario 1

.959 + .83 = 10.95m covered in scenario 2

Even if it were 60% with 1 dose and 95% with 2 it would be

.6 * 24 = 14.4m covered in scenario 1

.959 + .83 = 10.35m covered in scenario 2


I imagine "fairly rapidly" means a few months rather than a few weeks, in which case delaying the second dose from 4 weeks to 8 weeks won't cause any dramatic dips (this is all conjecture though).




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: