Thank you for your submission of proposed new revolutionary
battery technology. Your new technology claims to be superior to existing lithium-ion technology is is just around the corner from taking over the world. Unfortunately your technology will likely fail, because:
[ ] it is impractical to manufacture at scale.
[x] it will be too expensive for users.
[ ] it suffers from too few recharge cycles.
[ ] it is incapable of delivering current at sufficient levels.
[ ] it lacks thermal stability at low or high temperatures.
[x] it lacks the energy density to make it sufficiently portable.
[ ] it has too short of a lifetime.
[ ] its charge rate is too slow.
[ ] its materials are too toxic.
[ ] it is too likely to catch fire or explode.
[ ] it is too minimal of a step forward for anybody to care.
[ ] this was already done 20 years ago and didn't work then.
[x] by this time it ships li-ion advances will match it.
Yet another example of a glib response ignoring the actual facts in the article and ironic to boot given that lithium-ion suffers from several of the flaws listed. The funny thing is, none of the claims you make are correct and you miss the point where this tech is specifically designed to cover areas where Li-ion fails (like high temp and places where having a battery explode into flaming debris is a bad thing.)
Humour is rarely appreciated here, but I found this funny and on point.
Battery technology announcements are always extremely over hyped. Mostly by media and PR departments rather than actual scientific or domain specific outlets.
Advancements happen, but even if they are technically and commercially viable, it takes years until anything becomes actually useful.
Battery technology announcements are always extremely over hyped.
Right, except this announcement specifically isn't. It's a short description of a new technology with targeted use-cases, which explicitly points out the ways in which it's not ready to displace existing technologies.
You are correct that there is often unjustified hype around battery technology in general. But this article is absolutely not that.
I agree with you. Year after year we read about "revolutionary" battery technologies that are finally going to change the world. A laundry list of reasons why previous technologies that made the same claim ended up fizzling out is completely appropriate. Presenting the list formatted as humor instead of as a humble submission suits me just fine, because 1) I enjoy the humor, which ribs me a bit for how many times I've been fooled by announcements like these over the decades, and 2) I'm still aware that this time could be different. Probably won't be, but could be. The technology will either work out or not based on its merits, my "middlebrow" humor and skepticism notwithstanding.
The title is factually accurate, as no other solid-state battery has as high a capacity.
Perhaps it could be better phrased to be clearer that it's "the highest of solid state batteries" and not "the highest of batteries, and also solid state".
But that's the problem with these announcements. They make one or two factual statements that seem positive but hide the downsides. A year or two from now and the downsides aren't overcome and at best they gain a small market niche.
Funnily enough, I remember reading an article many years ago (I was about 10, so it would have been mid to late 80s) about LiPo being the next big thing, and the author making all sorts of claims about how battery technology announcements being over-hyped.
You're correct, but eventually one of these announcements will live up to the promise. LiPo was basically stumbling due to a few manufacturing at scale issues at the time, and once those got solved (Sony released a standard LiPo cell in 1991) it wasn't long before it became the new standard.
I'm still sceptical of new battery tech announcements, but I still get excited by them!
I found it tedious. Pretty much every post about advancements in battery technology on HN have a similarly cynical post at the top. I wondered what this one would be before I clicked on the comments link.
I have two different views on new battery technology press releases.
1) "Hey, that's great, I hope it works out for them!"
2) "Can I actually pull out my visa card right now, and buy some individual units online?"
Re: #2, most batteries have very little relevance to me as an end user until they're commercially available to buy. For instance the Panasonic NCR18650GA (245-250Wh/kg) li-ion, the Molicell P42A (21700 size li ion that's capable of being discharged at 45A rate with appropriate cooling), and other state of the art technology. I can go buy those right now from some reputable online stores.
Until whatever other new battery shows up to actually purchase, it exists in a liminal, theoretical state only.
> [insert AI/ML/other tech] announcements are always extremely over hyped. Mostly by media and PR departments rather than actual scientific or domain specific outlets.
Rule of thumb, if it sounds to good to be true. It probably is but the PR department needs to do something.
TwoBit's response is perfect because I've been hearing of battery breakthroughs on a regular basis for over 30 years. I don't even read them anymore. I'll catch up when they do actually do something notable.
The actual facts are that they're not mass produced and commercially available, just like all the other battery advancements that pop up a few times a year.
I can sort of see how that's justified when advertising to people who don't really understand electrical units. The battery capacity is listed in kilowatt hours. If you don't really understand what a kilowatt is but you know the battery has a capacity of 60 kilowatt hours, and the charger charges at 10 kilowatt hours per hour, then it'll charge in about 6 hours.
A kilowatt-hour is the total amount of energy transferred over the course of an hour at a rate of one kilowatt, so "kilowatt-hours per hour" is just "kilowatts".
Sure it's a funny checklist but not very useful since it can be used to dismiss anything. Coal can generate a lot of electricity even in the dark or in the gentlest of breezes yet we still develop tech for solar or wind power.
as it should be. Energy is about hard sciences, not technology, and so progress is very unlikely and thus slow, much slower than the claims about breakthroughs.
[x] it lacks the energy density to make it sufficiently portable.
that only matters if you want a portable battery. there are alot of uses where it doesnt need to be portable at all. thats only for electric cars. same with crash resistance etc, and even affordability for average users.
it literally says "satellites and industrial machinery." in the article, neither of which needs to be very cheap or portable. especially because other batteries arent good under extreme temps
Not only that, if this battery had been available first then the attack on someone pushing Li-ion would have been:
[x] it lacks thermal stability at low or high temperatures.
[x] it is too likely to catch fire or explode.
Too many people think Li-ion is magic, when it just happens to occupy a particular niche of characteristics that let it get a good early jump in the race for portable power. Nothing about the chemistry involved mandates it remain in a position of primacy.
Are you kidding me? The 'first' was the Voltaic pile, copper and zinc. The first practical rechargeable was lead-acid. Li-ion is a relative newcomer, but had a sufficient power density to lead to a lot of applications which in turn led to a lot of research on improving Li-ion in a virtuous circle. We are pushing the limits of Li-ion and know that is sucks for some environments or application requirements, which is why people research alternatives.
This particular alternative is useful in some very specific niches in which Li-ion will _never_ be competitive.
Could it tho? First commercial liion batteries were developed by Sony in 1991 according to Wiki. By 1996 Toshiba was already shipping Libretto palmtops with 1200mAh 17670 cells. Today, in 2021 you cant go better than 3x this capacity in same/similar form factor.
Dear battery technology claimant,
Thank you for your submission of proposed new revolutionary battery technology. Your new technology claims to be superior to existing lithium-ion technology is is just around the corner from taking over the world. Unfortunately your technology will likely fail, because:
[ ] it is impractical to manufacture at scale.
[x] it will be too expensive for users.
[ ] it suffers from too few recharge cycles.
[ ] it is incapable of delivering current at sufficient levels.
[ ] it lacks thermal stability at low or high temperatures.
[x] it lacks the energy density to make it sufficiently portable.
[ ] it has too short of a lifetime.
[ ] its charge rate is too slow.
[ ] its materials are too toxic.
[ ] it is too likely to catch fire or explode.
[ ] it is too minimal of a step forward for anybody to care.
[ ] this was already done 20 years ago and didn't work then.
[x] by this time it ships li-ion advances will match it.
[ ] your claims are lies.
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