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And if the ball landed on black instead of red the last time I bet on roulette I'd also be ahead.

Performance analysis like this after the fact doesn't really have any relevance unless there was some information missed.



Further reading on this in Adaptive Markets : Financial Evolution at the Speed of Thought. Has some theories around information flow and market participant behavior that permit edge to persist.


Well 13 days later after calling my NKLA short position and closing 75% of my position [0] I now made more money after it fell below $10.00 on the 12th of August as of this comment.

So it seems I'm the one leaving with profit after closing the remaining 25% of my short position while you sit their and watch.

It turns out that I'm the one laughing all the way to the bank.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27996773

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28050958




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