My thinking (some of these may take a year or two more)
- we start understanding more about how powerful neural networks can be in storing abstractions of information. More and more breakthroughs come here. A company will come that will do magical things - this company will not be Open AI or one of the big FAANG
- Maybe not this year, but soon: new advances started in robotics based on generative AI. Robots start moving in far more realistic ways
- we enter an extended stock market downturn and it does not recover till end of year. Companies trade at low multiples of revenue
- German car companies aggressively catch up with Tesla in terms of design
- Europe closes up more to migrants
- There is a Russia/Ukraine settlement, with Ukraine getting a fast track entry to the EU.
- African countries start de-facto redrawing their boarders. Ethiopia, Cameroun, maybe Nigeria
- China invades Taiwan with the largest invasion force ever seen
- The drone becomes the primary weapon of war. Every other weapon becomes secondary. New wars start based on drone
- The value of Tesla drops down to 30% of where it currently is
- The USD weakens significantly.
- More mRNA treatments start being used. Sickle cell and other genetic diseases are first target
Dystopian has been the annual state of the world since 2020. The outlook isn't good either. Dystopian forecast calls for at least another decade or two of declining into more dystopia.
- we start understanding more about how powerful neural networks can be in storing abstractions of information. More and more breakthroughs come here. A company will come that will do magical things - this company will not be Open AI or one of the big FAANG
- Maybe not this year, but soon: new advances started in robotics based on generative AI. Robots start moving in far more realistic ways
- we enter an extended stock market downturn and it does not recover till end of year. Companies trade at low multiples of revenue
- German car companies aggressively catch up with Tesla in terms of design
- Europe closes up more to migrants
- There is a Russia/Ukraine settlement, with Ukraine getting a fast track entry to the EU.
- African countries start de-facto redrawing their boarders. Ethiopia, Cameroun, maybe Nigeria
- China invades Taiwan with the largest invasion force ever seen
- The drone becomes the primary weapon of war. Every other weapon becomes secondary. New wars start based on drone
- The value of Tesla drops down to 30% of where it currently is
- The USD weakens significantly.
- More mRNA treatments start being used. Sickle cell and other genetic diseases are first target