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* At least one of the next phase of FAANG companies is founded by folks that were part of this layoff cycle.

* GPT4 blows everyone's mind and is a full step above ChatGPT

* A giant leap happens with self-driving cars, making them finally viable.

* Meta continues to implode, Zuck is forced out or brings in someone else to act as CEO.

* Elon gets bored of his new toy (Twitter) and moves on to other things

* Car production finally gets back to 100% and 30% of new cars sold are Electric by Q4.

* Due to Elon's damage to the brand, Hyundai and Ford take the lead from Tesla.

* Apple does not reveal their VR/AR project as they don't see it as having broad appeal.

* There is an open-source version of ChatGPT/GPT3 like there was with DALL-E and StableDiffusion.

* ChatGPT/Transformers become integrated into our daily lives and become invaluable tools. Google/Bing/DDG starts using it (in some form) for search.

* With the implosion of streaming products, Hollywood goes into a recession, making a fraction of the projects they did in the last couple of years.

* At least one big player merges / get bought by another. (i.e. AMC/Paramount)

* There starts to be a return to the office. Especially in urban cores, this is partially spurred by younger singles that want to be more social.

* Californians get fed up with homelessness / crime and implement some draconian measures to get a handle on it. (i.e. much tougher sentencing for car break-ins, making street camping illegal)

* Trump becomes a clear 2nd to DeSantis in the GOP primary, but he continues to sell his brand to his followers, The GOP mostly abandons him.

* While Putin is out of the country there is a Palace Coup.

* People continue to wear masks just like they do today.

* Frustrated by the US lead ban on tech licensing and equipment to China. Xi gets very close to invading Taiwan, but it doesn't happen in 2023



>Due to Elon's damage to the brand, Hyundai and Ford take the lead from Tesla.

That would imply some kind of manufacturing capacity being magicked from somewhere. Or just a complete bottoming out of Tesla sales, despite them currently being higher than ever. Do you think Musk's being-a-dick quotient can get higher? I'm thinking it tops out about now, barring it becoming some kind of superpower.


Good point, perhaps they don't take the lead in volume, but in the gain of market growth vs Tesla.

I think a huge number of people aren't up on Elon's antics as you think. Eventually, over time they will. I'm saying while Elon may be at peak crazy, we're not at the general population knowing that.


Could be. Right now people are too busy buying Model Ys though. I have a difficult time seeing that changing. People like EVs. And the EVs available for sale are by and large Teslas, followed by VW group cars.


I agree that layoffs will lead to new companies being formed. I'm not convinced that the self driving car thing will happen in the US. I think the US will be slow due to the high cost of american life and regulations. I think it will happen in Asia though.




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