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"The shocking speed of progress on AI"

Not sure what is shocking. Some of us used Codex in 2021 and nothing has changed since that has revolutionised software development by any capacity. Feels like people are just saying whatever some tech CEO or worse, some guru says.

Progress isn't some infinite exponential either where you can just keep increasing the capacity of models and expect better results. Also not sure where they are going to get better training data when they already polluted the internet with AI generated data.



Yeah, to me it feels like a step change to a new level, followed by a lot of exploration of that new level. It feels like there's lots of exploring left to do, but we're not going to reach "magic box that turns English into flawless programs" on the current level.

Speaking just to programming, yes there's probably lots of AI-generated code in the training data now. But the generation of that code was guided by, and (presumably) confirmed to be working by, a human. So it's been filtered.

I suspect that AI-and-human produces better code than human, on average. I know that if I throw any twenty lines of my code into it, it can usually suggest some improvement, even if it's just a variable name.




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