It’s hilarious to me that Roko’s Basilisk maps perfectly to Pascal’s Wager, but they just can’t see it. It’s like any other exclusive religion: your god is made up, ours is real.
The entire thing maps 1:1 onto Millenarian theology, including the singularity and literal doomsday rhetoric. I think it was Charles Stross who called it duck typed Evangelicalism at one point
It's late by hundreds of years. It introduces a lot of unnecessary complexity.
The most sophisticated variation of the Wager I've encountered is the Taleb's diatribe against GMO.