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It’s hilarious to me that Roko’s Basilisk maps perfectly to Pascal’s Wager, but they just can’t see it. It’s like any other exclusive religion: your god is made up, ours is real.


>Roko’s Basilisk maps perfectly to Pascal’s Wager

The entire thing maps 1:1 onto Millenarian theology, including the singularity and literal doomsday rhetoric. I think it was Charles Stross who called it duck typed Evangelicalism at one point


> duck typed Evangelicalism

I definitely need to remember that one.


Down to the walks and quacks.


like, treatments of it I've seen are explicitly discussed in that context? It's also described as Pascal's mugging.


Exactly. It's a variation of Pascal's Wager for morons.


I wouldn’t say it’s any worse or better than the original. It basically just swaps some names around.


It's late by hundreds of years. It introduces a lot of unnecessary complexity. The most sophisticated variation of the Wager I've encountered is the Taleb's diatribe against GMO.




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