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> When reading these program announcements,

I think DARPA projects often are not what they say they are. Admittedly this project is quite out there.

> P(Success) = 0.2

They themselves admit it's lower than this, which is not 'success' but successful outcomes to limited specs.



Yeah, wouldn’t P(success) = 0.2 be pretty fantastic for any highly experimental/speculative/moonshot research entity?




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