Looks like this would prompt Maduro to kill her, and gave US a reason to invade ...

sien · 2025-10-10T10:08:09 1760090889

The US attacking Venezuela before 2026 is now at 31% on metaculus.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39336/us-attacks-venezue...

pjc50 · 2025-10-10T10:46:11 1760093171

Bit late for that, they've already murdered some random Venezuelans at sea.

zamadatix · 2025-10-10T13:10:41 1760101841

I don't think that met either of the criteria:

> This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, the United States carries out a military attack against Venezuela's territory or military forces.

goku12 · 2025-10-10T09:24:07 1760088247

Or someone else on his behalf - even his enemies.

Alright, we are into conspiracy theory territory now. But let me just say that these awards make me a bit nervous.