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"You are arguing for testing everyone there."

Are you mistaking me for someone else? I never said or even implied that.

"And a 99% overall false positive rate is easy to achieve,"

Not in the real world, any such experiment will be shut down long before the asymptotic behavior kicks in. Real healthcare does not have unlimited resources to play such games. That is why I don't want to wargame them, it is "Luxembourg attacks the US scenario".

"There are no specific risk groups for pancreatic cancer"

This is just incorrect, people with chronic pancreatitis have massively increased risk of developing pancreatic cancer (16x IIRC). There also seems to be a hereditary factor.

Czech healthcare system, in fact, has a limited pancreatic cancer screening program since 2024, for people who were identified as high-risk.

https://www.cgs-cls.cz/screening/program-vyhledavani-rakovin...





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